What Are These 2 Stocks Telling Us? – Home Bancshares Inc. (Conway AR) (HOMB), The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD)

Home Bancshares Inc. (Conway AR) (NASDAQ: HOMB) shares are -39.98% down in the year-to-date (YTD) period and have moved -0.42% or -$0.05 lower in the latest trading session. Comparatively, the stock is down -38.57% over the trailing 3-month period. If we look at the shorter duration, its week performance is -2.48% and -7.60% over the month.

Analyst Recommendations

On February 11, 2019, Barclays recommended the HOMB stock is a Equal Weight, while earlier, Citigroup had Downgrade the stock as a Neutral on January 09, 2020.

The stock currently trades at $11.75 and analysts tracking its performance over the next 12 months have a consensus estimate price target of $16.57. The consensus price target represents an upside potential 29.09.

Earnings Forecast

Analysts estimate the earnings to increase 4.80% in the current quarter to $0.36, down from the $0.42 reported in the same quarter a year ago. For the current year, earnings should grow to an average of $1.48, down -1.00% from $1.73 reported last year. Analysts also offered guidance for the next financial quarter, with their average projected EPS at between $0.18 and $0.43. Wall Street estimates earnings per share to be at an average of $1.53 for the next year.

Insider Transactions Summary

According to SEC data, total insider shares purchases at the company stands at 24 over the last 12 months, while SEC filings reveal that there have been 23 insider sales over the same period. Insiders have purchases 236,906 shares while those sold by company executives and officers stand at 168,090. The last 3 months have seen insiders trade a total of 212,450 and 1,667 in purchases and sales respectively.

French Tracy, a Centennial Bank CEO/President at the company, bought 1,000 shares worth $16790.0 at $16.79 per share on Feb 28. The Director had earlier bought another 20,000 HOMB shares valued at $278598.0 on Mar 11. The shares were bought at $13.93 per share. French Tracy (Centennial Bank CEO/President) bought 450 shares at $18.58 per share on Feb 25 for a total of $8361.0 while French Tracy, (Centennial Bank CEO/President) bought 2,000 shares on Feb 25 for $37173.0 with each share fetching $18.59.

The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD), on the other hand, is trading around $220.73 with a market cap of $10.02B and analyst research firms have a negative stance on its shares. Analysts predict that the stock will reach $205.88 and spell out a less modest performance – a -7.21% return. Some analysts are even forecasting $3.14 per share in earnings this year on a short term (1 year) basis.

Insider activity

Insiders have transacted a total of 173 times at The Trade Desk Inc. over the last 6 months, with insider purchases undertaken 41 times and accounting for 101,608 shares. Insider sales totaled 184,980 shares over the same period, with these deals completed in 132 transactions. Looking at these numbers, we realize that net purchases over that period are -91.0 shares. Insiders now hold a total of 4.66M shares after the latest sales, with 1.60% net shares purchased.

Major holders

Insiders own 1.10% of the company shares, while shares held by institutions stand at 79.10% with a share float percentage of 39.63M. Investors are also buoyed by the number of investors in a company, with The Trade Desk Inc. having a total of 0 institutions that hold shares in the company. The top two institutional holders are Vanguard Group, Inc. (The) with over 3.66 million shares worth more than $949.59 million. As of Dec 30, 2019, Vanguard Group, Inc. (The) held 9.05% of shares outstanding.

The other major institutional holder is Morgan Stanley, with the investment firm holding over 3.57 million shares as of Dec 30, 2019. The firm’s total holdings are worth over $927.57 million and represent 8.84% of shares outstanding.