ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) 2021 Stock Forecast: Bullish Outlook with 88.69% Upside

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE: ZTO) is 20.23% higher on its value in year-to-date trading and has touched a low of $22.75 and a high of $38.99 in the current 52-week trading range. The question becomes, what are the chances the stock will continue to grow shareholders’ wealth in the market. Here’s what analysts think will happen to its price in the coming time. The ZTO stock was last observed hovering at around $35.22 in the last trading session, with the day’s loss setting it -0.16% off its average median price target of $242.51 for the next 12 months. It is also 88.69% off the consensus price target high of $309.96 offered by 25 analysts, but current levels are 79.15% higher than the price target low of $168.14 for the same period.


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Currently trading at $35.06, the stock is -2.49% and 8.48% above its SMA20 and SMA50 respectively. However, with a daily trading volume of 2.28 million and changing -0.45% at the moment leaves the stock 7.59% off its SMA200. ZTO registered 43.44% gain for a year compared to 6-month gain of 7.15%. The firm has a 50-day simple moving average (SMA 50) of $34.41 and a 200-day simple moving average (SMA200) of $31.15.

The stock witnessed a 5.99% loss in the last 1 month and extending the period to 3 months gives it a 18.81%, and is -0.85% down over the last 5 days. If we measure the stock’s price variations over the week and the month, we find that the volatility rates stand at 3.00% over the week and 3.37% over the month.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) has around 19009 employees, a market worth around $30.62B and $3.69B in sales. Current P/E ratio is 33.14 and Fwd P/E is 33.45. Profit margin for the company is 22.50%. Distance from 52-week low is 54.10% and -10.08% from its 52-week high. The company has generated returns on investments over the last 12 months (11.30%).

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Analyst Forecasts

Analyst recommendations provided by FactSet shows that the consensus forecast for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is a “Overweight”. 25 analysts offering their recommendations for the stock have an average rating of 1.90, where 3 rate it as a Hold and 4 think it is a “Overweight”. 17 of the analysts rate the stock as a “Buy”. 1 analysts have rated the stock as a Sell or Underperform.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is expected to release its quarterly report on 05/19/2021 and quarterly earnings per share for the current quarter are estimated at $0.28 with sales reaching $1.28B over the same period.The EPS is expected to grow by 24.20% this year, but quarterly earnings will post 23.60% year-over-year. Quarterly sales are estimated to grow 31.00% in year-over-year returns.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Top Institutional Holders

440 institutions hold shares in ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO), with 5.13M shares held by insiders accounting for 0.62% while institutional investors hold 37.30% of the company’s shares. The shares outstanding are 784.87M, and float is at 425.01M with Short Float at 3.93%. Institutions hold 37.07% of the Float.

The top institutional shareholder in the company is Invesco Ltd. with over 38.68 million shares valued at $1.13 billion. The investor’s holdings represent 5.96% of the ZTO Shares outstanding. As of Dec 30, 2020, the second largest holder is Blackrock Inc. with 18.91 million shares valued at $551.45 million to account for 2.91% of the shares outstanding. The other top investors are Vanguard Group, Inc. (The) which holds 15.06 million shares representing 2.32% and valued at over $439.24 million, while Warburg Pincus LLC holds 2.19% of the shares totaling 14.23 million with a market value of $415.05 million.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO): Who are the competitors?

The company’s main competitors (and peers) include Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) that is trading 41.78% up over the past 12 months. Short interest in the company’s stock has risen 16.13% from the last report on Jan 14, 2021 to stand at a total of 13.99 million short shares sold with a short interest ratio of 3.75.

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